NHL Playoffs Same Game Parlay Picks (Sunday)

The NHL playoffs kicked off yesterday and the first two games did not disappoint. The league rolls out another four-game series today, with the action kicking off as early as 12:30 PM ET with the ‘Battle of Florida’ between the Lightning and Panthers. I’ll wait until the 7:00 PM ET time slot to get some insight into the game, where I’ll dig into the Avalanche vs. Opener. Jets series in Winnipeg. Here is my favorite Same Game Parlay (SPG) for this 2 vs. 3 match in the Central Division.

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Sunday NHL SGP

(Also courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)

Leg 1: Connor Hellebuyck fewer than 2.5 goals conceded (+120)

How can we talk about the Winnipeg Jets without immediately bringing up Connor Hellebuyck? The netminder put together a Vezina-worthy season, posting a 37-19-4 record (second most wins), 2.39 GAA (4th) and .921 SV% (2nd).

The 30-year-old has been on fire, going a perfect 5-0-0 in April while posting a GAA of 1.99 and an SV% of 0.938. Included in that five-game run is a 30-save shutout against the Avalanche, which the Jets won 7-0. Hellebuyck has allowed two or fewer goals in three of his last five starts, and in each of his three games against the Avalanche this season. Colorado has the top scoring talent, but Hellebuyck is playing crazy right now. I think he’s planning a big outing at home on Sunday evening.

Leg 2: Winnipeg Jets Moneyline (-115)

Moving on, I also play the Jets on the moneyline. Let’s start with this year’s head-to-head matchups, where Winnipeg decimated Colorado. The Jets posted a 3-0-0 record against the Avalanche, outscoring them 17-4! This was an absolute destruction of their divisional enemy.

Winnipeg is full steam ahead heading into the postseason. They finished the year on an eight-match winning streak, scoring at least three goals in each of the matches. The Jets lit the lamp at least four times in seven of those eight games. So while we like to think of the Jets as a defensive team, they have proven that they have excellent scoring options during the latter part of the regular season. I think they put it on the limping Avs, who finished the year with a 4-5-2 record.

Stage 3: Nikolaj Ehlers more than 0.5 points (+110)

Let’s pick up where we left off, which is with Colorado’s record of 4-5-2 to end the year. Across the 11-game sample size, the Avalanche averaged 3.8 goals per game. That moved them to 16th in the league in overall defense, where they allowed 2.91 goals per game.

Meanwhile, this Winnipeg offense is on fire. This also includes the second line of Ehlers-Monahan-Toffoli. Specifically, Nikolaj Ehlers has been on a tear, collecting 16 points (6G, 10A) over his last 17 regular-season games. The winger, who leads the team in SOG (233), recorded at least one point in each of the three games against Colorado this year (1G, 4A). I’d like to see that trend continue Sunday night, give me Ehlers to make a point.

Honestly, I think it’s crazy that the Avalanche are a -130 favorite to win this series (WPG +110). Winnipeg plays better hockey, they have a huge advantage in goaltending, they have home ice and they have beaten Colorado three times this season. The Avalanche can’t just flip the switch and turn things around, not with a lack of scoring depth and shaky goaltending. Look for the Jets to keep it rolling in game one behind a Hellebuyck masterpiece and an Ehlers contribution on offense. Let’s end the weekend with a +330 winner!

Parlay Odds: +330